Two dead and 50,000 isolated people in Italy: coronavirus breaks out unexpectedly (and still unknown) in Europe

After the death of a 78-year-old man in Padua and the succession of new cases in Lombardy and Veneto, the Italian Government has been left with no choice but to admit the seriousness of the situation and put 50,000 residents of neighboring towns with the outbreak original in isolation. Suddenly, and without warning, the coronavirus has settled in the heart of Europe.

Although 28 infected people may seem few in a country with more than 60 million inhabitants, the appearance of an outbreak of these characteristics has left a large part of the Italian authorities out of the game and forced them to close all public premises (shops, schools, churches, government offices, etc ...) and to recommend to citizens not to leave their homes in the coming days.

And the fact is that, while infections in South Korea are doubling and deaths in Iran continue to increase, the outbreak of the virus in a borderless area of ​​more than 500 million inhabitants has set off all the alarms. The Covid-19 is already here: what next?

What's going on in Italy?

Evolution of the epidemic in South Korea - Scott Gottlieb

No one knows where the outbreak comes from: All in all, that's not the main problem. The critical problem is that it is not clear what the focus of the contagion has been, nor is there any epidemiological link known so far that allows for more effective and restrictive measures to be taken. Several tracks are being followed and the environment of what is believed to be the "zero" patient is being studied; however, the various investigations are reaching dead ends. We are talking about an outbreak, thousands of kilometers away, with no specific relationship to the original outbreak and this has disoriented experts who track the municipalities of Lombardy and Veneto trying to discover the key to the outbreak.

** "Time is running out": ** With this scenario, it is inevitable to think of the words of Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director of the World Health Organization, this Friday: "Time is running out to avoid a global spread of the Chinese coronavirus. " "Although the total number of cases outside of China remains relatively low, we are concerned with the number of cases with no clear epidemiological link, such as travel history or contacts with a confirmed case."

What happens now? Although the European authorities call for calm, the health systems of all the countries of the Union are waiting. Until all the details of the Italian outbreak are clarified, an accurate estimate of the evolution of the epidemic on the continent cannot be made. As we mentioned in the case of South Korea, the bulk of the measures have been aimed at preventing the virus from entering the Union.

Once you are inside, in an environment of such mobility, the situation changes and, in the next few days, the necessary changes in the corresponding protocols will be approved. However, in general terms, the situation does not change too much in Spanish hospitals and health centers. Given the diversification of epidemiological routes, we will have more suspected cases; but the ball is on the Italian roof. What they will be able to discover will depend on the coming weeks throughout Europe.

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